What Is A Blackjack Hand
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Blackjack odds of winning can be high only if players fully understand the rules of the game and basic blackjack strategy, which means that players should understand the difference between playing soft hand and hard hand. The matter is that most of the beginners play using so called “basic blackjack chart”.
Blackjack Hand Signals. Check out the Vegas Blackjack Hand Signals in motion here! Badly used blackjack hand signals are a perfect way to lose big at the tables, so before you head to the casino, take careful note of the different black jack hand gestures used in the game to avoid running into problems. Well then, on average just how good a hand do you need to beat the dealer? Many aspiring students of the game have asked me, 'What's the dealer's average hand?' Of the three dozen blackjack books I have on my shelf, none of them contain this specific information per se, and there's a good reason for it.
The average value is
(17+18+19+20+21)/5 = 19
Something tells me, you meant to ask about the expected value, not the average.
To compute the average, you need to weigh the numbers by values from Wizard's Appendix 2.
For example, for 6 deck S17:
(0.152487 * 17 + 0.146201*18 + 0.14035*19 + 0.188478*20 + 0.076507*21)/0.704023 = 18.844205
SOMETHING tells me you didn't read 'dealers average final hand.'
- A blackjack game which is dealt from a shoe. Shoe games typically use 4,5,6 or 8 decks. Soft A soft hand is a hand that includes an ace valued as 11, as opposed to 1. Split If a player is dealt two cards of the same rank, he can choose to play each of them separately, putting up a bet for each one. Stand To stop asking for more cards.
- Blackjack is a game of skill, where strategy and research make a difference. Blackjack is an exciting table game because it attracts smart bettors who understand the game can be profitable in the right circumstances. Practicing blackjack tips prepares a gambler for the most entertaining casino game.
I'd compare it to people saying 'The Patriots win their games by an average of 9 points..' Does that include the games they lost? Does it take points away in those cases? Probably the only way to have quasi-meaningful data would be to say, the dealer breaks X%, and in the (100 - X)% that the dealer doesn't break, the average final hand is Y.
Except when the dealer's hand is the only one left in play, are you counting that as not breaking?
If they stand there average hand is 17 because they are just staying with 17. if they hit there average hand is 18.5 because 18 or lower is normally a losing hand in blackjack on average and 19 or higher is usually a winning hand in blackjack. The dealer on any given hand will get a
TOTALLY WRONG. The figures are known to be in the mid 18's, and if h17, or mh17 as they like to say, it is slightly higher.
SOMETHING tells me you didn't read 'dealers average final hand.'
Not sure what you mean. I did read it. What is it that tells you I did not?
Not sure what you mean. I did read it. What is it that tells you I did not?
You thought he needed help averaging five numbers? Are you saying the dealer's ending hands will be perfectly distributed with 17,18,19,20,21? If the dealer hasn't played a number of hands that is a multiple of 5, then that's impossible.
You thought he needed help averaging five numbers?
No, I just pointed out that he asked a wrong question.
Are you saying the dealer's ending hands will be perfectly distributed with 17,18,19,20,21?
Not sure what what 'perfectly distributed' means in this context.
Perhaps, you meant to ask if I thought it would be uniformly or evenly distributed? In that case, the answer is no, I don't think that, which, I thought, was made clear enough by my referencing Wizard's page with the actual probabilities of each hand.
What did you think perfectly might mean other than evenly?
Well, I did not give it too much thought, because it did not make sense, and I thought I guessed what you really meant from the context. What is usually meant by 'perfect' when discussing empirical observations is exactly conforming to the underlying theory.
What is the dealers average final hand in blackjack for ALL the various number of decks and whether they hit or stand on soft 17. Ive heard from 18.23 up to 18.56.
Lengthy article on the subject:
what is the dealer's average hand in blackjack.
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Blackjack Probability and Blackjack Odds
What Is A Rummy Hand In Blackjack
To fully understand the game of blackjack, you must understand and master blackjack odds. It's crucial to know how the casino gains its edge and how it helps them win. It's also important to understand blackjack odds such as the odds of hitting a 10 or the odds of being dealt a blackjack. You can read over these blackjack odds charts to help understand the logistics behind blackjack.
Casino and Dealer Advantage in Blackjack
In most casino games of blackjack, the house advantage (the dealer advantage) is ~ 8%. The house gets this advantage by the dealer being the last player to act. By acting last, all other players have already made their decisions and could quite possibly bust before the dealer has his turn.
By using correct blackjack basic strategy, you can turn the casino edge in blackjack from 7%-8% down to 0.5%. If you correctly use advanced card counting techniques, you can often change blackjack odds and give yourself the advantage over the casino. Manipulating the house odds to your favor is the reason most casinos don't allow card counters to play blackjack.
Probability of Busting on a Hit
It's very important to know the probability of your hand busting when you are holding any total in the game of blackjack. The following odds chart shows the blackjack odds of busting, depending on your current hand value:
| Hand Value | % Bust If You Hit |
|---|---|
| 21 | 100% |
| 20 | 92% |
| 19 | 85% |
| 18 | 77% |
| 17 | 69% |
| 16 | 62% |
| 15 | 58% |
| 14 | 56% |
| 13 | 39% |
| 12 | 31% |
| 11 or Less | 0% |
Two-Card Count Frequencies
This interesting blackjack odds chart is the two card count frequency chart. This chart shows the percentage chance that you will be dealt a hand in each given value range. The most important frequencey to note is the chance of being dealt a natural blackjack (natural 21 value. The odds of being dealt a natural blackjack are merely 4.8%. Following this chart you will see that the most common two card hand, at 38.7%, is a hand totaling 1-16, which is considered a decision hand.
| Two Card Count | % Frequency |
|---|---|
| Natural 21 | 4.8% |
| Hard Standing (17-20) | 30.0 % |
| Decision Hands (1-16) | 38.7% |
| No Bust | 26.5% |
| TOTAL | 100.0% |
Dealer Final Hand Probabilities
What Is A Soft Blackjack Hand
This blackjack odds chart shows the dealer final hand probability. These are the percentages that the dealer will end up with a hand totaling each corresponding value (up to 16). Read over this chart to understand the odds that the dealer has to make his final hand.
| Dealer Final Hand Value | % | Cumulative % Total |
|---|---|---|
| Natural 21 | 4.82% | 4.83% |
| 21 (3 or More Cards) | 7.36% | 12.19% |
| 20 | 17.58% | 29.77% |
| 19 | 13.48% | 43.25% |
| 18 | 13.81% | 57.06% |
| 17 | 14.58% | 71.64% |
| 16 | 28.36% | 100.00% |
Blackjack Hands Chart
Player Advantage vs. Dealer Up Card
The first two columns in this odds chart explain the dealer's chance of busting, depending on the up card that he is showing. You should note that the dealer has the highest chance of busting when he is showing a 5. The third column in this chart shows the player advantage of using basic strategy, compared to each up card the dealer is showing. You can see that the player has the highest advantage of 23.9%, when the dealer is showing a 5. When the dealer is showing any card that is 9 value or higher, the player is in the negative advantage range.
| Dealer Up Card | Dealer Bust % | Player Advantage % with Basic Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 35.30% | 9.8% |
| 3 | 37.56% | 13.4% |
| 4 | 40.28% | 18.0% |
| 5 | 42.89% | 23.2% |
| 6 | 42.08% | 23.9% |
| 7 | 25.99% | 14.3% |
| 8 | 23.86% | 5.4% |
| 9 | 23.34% | -4.3% |
| J,Q,K | 21.43% | -16.9% |
| A | 11.65% | -16.0% |
Effects of Removing Cards from a Deck
When looking at the odds of removing certain cards from a 52-card deck, some cards have a much greater effect on blackjack odds. To create the strongest card counting system ever invented, you would have to incorporate all of these slight and subtle differences into the numbers to be a completely accurate system.
Removing every 5 from a deck cards would make the largest impact of improving your blackjack odds, as a player. On the other hand, removing every Ace from a deck of cards would make the largest impact on improving the odds for the casino.
| Card | % Effect of Removal |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.40% |
| 3 | 0.43% |
| 4 | 0.52% |
| 5 | 0.67% |
| 6 | 0.45% |
| 7 | 0.30% |
| 8 | 0.01% |
| 9 | -0.15% |
| 10 | -0.51% |
| A | -0.59% |
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